mpc: 22 CPI inflation had fallen slightly, to 3.0% in January from 3.1% in December, much as the
Committee had expected at the time of the February
Inflation Report. However, it remained
significantly above the 2% target. In part that reflected the continuing impact of past increases in
energy and food prices. The lower level of the sterling exchange rate was pushing up energy and food
prices, and over time would put upwards pressure on the prices of other imported goods and services.
If the current level of the exchange rate persisted, then there would be a positive impact on the price
level. But it was uncertain how quickly this would feed through, and so how much it would add to
annual consumer price inflation. Offsetting this effect, there were likely to be significant downward
pressures on inflation from the growing level of spare capacity in the economy. That was consistent
with the results of a special survey on cost pass-through by the Bank's regional Agents, in which,
despite the lower level of sterling, many respondents had reported that their variable costs had fallen
over the previous six months.
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