mpc: 7
Despite the turmoil in some financial markets, equity prices continued to rise, with the main US
and European indices up 3%-5% since August. The apparent resilience of equity prices seemed
surprising given the deterioration in the major economies' growth prospects. One possible explanation
was that the continuing strength of the emerging market economies was expected to help maintain
sales and profits of companies in the developed world. That story was consistent with the noticeably
weaker equity prices of smaller companies, which were likely to be more reliant on domestic demand.
Another explanation might be that globalisation had reduced the pro-cyclicality of profits, with wages
and employment now expected to bear more of the burden in downturns. It was also possible that
participants in equity markets believed that central banks would act to maintain output growth.
Corporate bond yields especially for higher quality borrowers had been broadly unchanged since
August.
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