mpc: 11 Oil prices had risen through most of the month, but had fallen back just before the policy
meeting to end the period broadly unchanged. This volatility seemed largely to reflect concerns about
the potential for oil supply disruptions in Nigeria and the Middle East. There remained significant
uncertainty about the future path of oil and other energy prices. Option contracts suggested that
financial market participants thought the risks to future oil prices were skewed to the upside. Non-oil
commodity prices had increased strongly in recent months, which seemed likely to reflect the
acceleration in world industrial production and expectations of continued growth.
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