mpc: 9
There was a possibility that there might be a more sustained period of adjustment in the United
States, particularly in the housing market, with house sales and housing construction indicators both
easing recently. The house price inflation rate had fallen in November and December, while forward-
looking indicators of activity had also edged lower in recent months. A slowdown in the US housing
market would probably have implications for consumption and private residential investment. But just
as in the United Kingdom, the correlation between house price inflation and consumption growth had
fallen in recent years, and so although some further dampening of consumer spending was possible, it
was not clear how far any adjustment in the housing market would affect consumption growth.
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