mpc: 3
Whereas the increase in short sterling interest rates over the past month suggested that
expectations of a reduction in the official repo rate had receded, the average end-year rate expected by
economists surveyed by Reuters had fallen a little. However, no respondent expected a change at this
meeting; the mean probability attached to `no change' was 85%. According to Reuters, views differed
on whether the next move in the repo rate would be up or down. Nevertheless, market uncertainty
over the future path of interest rates, as measured by the expected volatility of short sterling rates
implied by options prices (implied volatility), had continued to fall.
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