mpc: 15 Consumption growth had edged up to 0.5% in Q3, according to the latest GDP release, broadly
in line with the November
Inflation Report. Indicators of household spending in Q4 had been mixed.
There had been some encouraging signs: three-month on three-month growth in retail sales volumes
had risen to 0.7% in October, according to official figures; the British Retail Consortium November
survey had pointed to a year-on-year increase in retail sales values of almost 5%; and reports from the
Bank's regional Agents had suggested a tentative recovery in consumption growth. In contrast, the
November CBI
Distributive Trades Survey had remained very weak, with the reported retailers' sales
balance falling to its lowest in the survey's 22-year history. Private car sales were significantly lower
than in 2004.
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