mpc: 23 The latest data on the world economy suggested that activity was no stronger, and perhaps a little
weaker than had been expected a month ago, with the US recovery broadly on track but the latest euro-
area data somewhat softer than anticipated. Growth in Asia remained robust. The main news on the
month for the UK economy was, on the one hand, the marked appreciation of sterling, which would
weaken the prospects for net trade; and, on the other, the stronger recent picture of domestic demand
provided by the latest estimates of GDP, together with the continued strength of retail sales growth and
buoyancy of the housing market. It seemed unlikely that upward revisions to the estimated level of
GDP at basic prices contained much news about the degree of spare capacity. Overall, the prospect
remained one of a steady pickup in CPI inflation towards target, as the gap between actual and
potential output closed.
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