mpc: 14 Total lending to individuals was growing at some 14% on an annual basis. Loan approvals for
house purchase had again fallen a little, but new purchasers would continue to underpin borrowing
growth, as they replaced existing owners whose housing-related debt had been taken on when house
prices were much lower. The income gearing implied by current and prospective indebtedness, if
interest rates followed the trajectory implied by market forward rates, would reach levels last seen in
the early 1990s within two or three years. A key difference, however, was that this increase could be
anticipated, as it was not the result of unexpected policy changes but simply reflected the expected
increase in the stock of debt and the interest rate path expected by the market to be consistent with
achieving the inflation target. Nevertheless, households might not have taken the prospective
increases in interest rates fully into account.
Make a comment: