mpc: 5
A range of possible explanations for the strength of sterling was discussed. One was that market
participants had revised their assessment of the equilibrium real sterling exchange rate, interpreting the
recent data on UK demand (with consumption growth, in particular, stronger than previously thought)
as reflecting a permanent strengthening relative to other countries. But it was not clear what might
have triggered that reassessment. Another was that there might have been changes in expected
inflation, either in the United Kingdom or abroad. But there was little evidence for that proposition. A
further possibility was that portfolio flows from dollars into sterling, associated with changes in the
risk premium on sterling-denominated assets, may have represented efforts by investors including
some Asian central banks to diversify their portfolios.
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