mpc: 16 CPI inflation had been 1.3% in December. Goods price inflation had been picking up for
some time, with increases across most components of the index, while services price inflation had
fallen, largely because of lower prices for package holidays. There was some evidence of growing
inflationary pressure in the supply pipeline. Twelve-month producer input price inflation had risen
to 2.7% in the second half of last year, propelled by commodity prices, which had risen in sterling,
not just US dollar, terms. This had been corroborated by the input price component of the
manufacturing PMI. Although movements in commodity and other input prices did not have a
close relationship with changes in the Consumer Prices Index, the rises were indicative of the
general upward pressure on prices from the broad-based recovery in global demand. There was also
some evidence that UK corporate services inflation had been rising during 2003.
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