mpc: 2
Over the past month, movements in interest rates had been small. Short-term sterling interest
rates were barely changed on the month, while short-term dollar and euro rates were around
10 basis points lower. Forward rates now implied that an increase of 25 basis points in the Bank's
repo rate this month was widely expected and largely priced into the yield curve. Forward interest
rates also suggested that market participants now expected official euro-area and US rates to be
increased a little later than had been anticipated at the time of the January MPC meeting. Long spot
interest rates were little changed on the month in the United Kingdom and a little lower in the
United States and the euro area, with the bulk of the falls accounted for by changes in expectations
about near-term interest rate prospects. Changes on the month in the major equity price indices
around the world had ranged from an increase of 1.3% for the DJ EuroStoxx to a fall of 2.8% for
the Topix, with the FTSE All-Share index dropping by 0.9%. Uncertainty about future equity
prices appeared to be below average in the United Kingdom and elsewhere.
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