mpc: 20 Inflationary pressures did appear to be building along the supply chain. Manufacturers' input
prices had risen in September, largely reflecting oil prices. Manufacturers' output price inflation had
also increased, and they seemed to have been able to rebuild margins despite rising input costs.
Manufacturing output price inflation in the
CBI Quarterly Industrial Trends Survey was close to a
five-year high. But pressures were greatest in the prices of intermediate and capital goods rather than
finished consumer goods, and so might take longer to pass through to consumer prices. Services price
inflation also seemed more stable. In recent years, prices of intermediate and consumer goods
imported into the United Kingdom had been falling whereas prices of goods produced in the United
Kingdom had been rising, reflecting differences in the composition of UK imports and exports. This
improvement in the terms of trade had partly offset the growing pressure of UK demand on supply.
But recently there had been signs of increases in the prices of imported finished manufactured goods,
and the depreciation of sterling would add to these inflationary pressures.
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