mpc: 18 Although the labour market remained tight, the Labour Force Survey (LFS) had suggested a further
small fall in the employment rate in the three months to August. Private sector employment had now
fallen for two years. Business surveys were also consistent with some softening in employment
growth, particularly in manufacturing and consumer services; and an informal special survey by the
Bank's Agents had suggested that employment growth had been strong in the past six months but was
likely to ease in the next six months. The LFS unemployment rate had also fallen in the three months
to August, with a further rise in measured inactivity. Taken at face value, the rise in inactivity rather
than unemployment might suggest reduced labour supply and a tighter labour market. But it was
difficult to interpret without further analysis of the disaggregated data to see who the inactive were and
how easily they might be drawn back into the workforce.
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