mpc: 16 On the expenditure side, the revisions to the National Accounts data released at the end of
September had suggested that demand was better balanced than previously thought. The level of
business investment was estimated to have been higher, and the outlook was more encouraging. The
most recent indicators suggested that consumer spending had not decelerated by as much as the
Committee had previously expected. Retail sales had grown by 1.2% in the third quarter, and the
quarterly growth rate had averaged 0.9% since the first half of 2002. The CBI Distributive Trades
survey for October had pointed to continuing buoyancy into 2003 Q4. However, the persistent
strength of house price inflation seemed to be having less upward impact on consumption than would
have been expected on the basis of historical experience.
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