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been revised up and business investment had been revised down. Quarterly manufacturing
investment growth had been revised up to 4.3% in Q4, the first positive growth rate since 1998 Q4.
Other plant and machinery investment had fallen by 0.4%, which could be consistent with a pause in
IT investment around the millennium. Revisions had reduced the volatility of inventories between
Q3 and Q4.
A23 There had been upward revisions to the level of both imports and exports during 1999,
although the timing of revisions differed. The net trade contribution had been slightly more negative
in 1999 H2. The trade deficit had increased to around 2% of GDP in Q4 but this had been more than
offset by increases in investment income and so the current account deficit had narrowed to 1.3% of
GDP.
A24 The gross operating surplus of all corporations had fallen by 0.9% in Q4 but the level had
been revised up by 1.5%. The half-yearly growth rates had been volatile. PNFCs' net borrowing
had been little changed in Q4, at 2.4% of GDP. Household compensation of employees had grown
strongly, by 1.8% in Q4. The annual household savings ratio had been around 6% over the past two
years. It had been low compared with the recent past but did not look so low when compared with
the 1960s.
A25 Retail sales had fallen by 1.2% in February following growth of 1.6% in January. The
three-month rates had still been strong. The BRC weekly data for March had pointed to further retail
sales growth and the Bank's regional Agents had reported little change in the growth rate, although
there was a further rise in the dispersion across regions. The CBI distributive trades survey had
reported lower sales volume growth in March but a rise in expected growth for April. The GfK
measure of consumer confidence had weakened across all categories to -2 in March.
A26 Analysis by Bank staff had shown close links between housing market surveys and housing
market activity and prices. Loan approvals and the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)
sales survey had strengthened in February and had suggested stronger activity in the short term. But
the House Builders' Federation survey had shown falling growth in site visits and net reservations
which pointed to an easing in activity in the summer. House price indicators had been mixed. The
Nationwide index had been very strong at 2.3% in March with annual growth rising to 16.2%. By
contrast, the Halifax index fell by 0.4% in March and the annual rate of house price inflation eased a
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